SSCB’nden Ayr?lan Ülkelerdeki Ekonomik Buhran ve Ortalama Ya?am Süresindeki Dramatik Dü?ü?ler Üzerine ?ncelemeler

Özet

Eski SSCB’den (Sovyet sonras?) ayr?lan ülkelerin piyasa ekonomisine geçi? deneyimlerini, uygulanan politikalar, devlet gelene?inin devaml?l???/kurumsal yap?lar?n devri, durgunlu?un derinli?i ve siyasi yap?lar aç?s?ndan s?n?fland?ran ve analiz eden geni? bir literatür ortaya ç?km??t?r. Bu çal??ma, ki?i ba??na gelir ile ortalama ya?am süresi aras?ndaki ili?kiyi dikkate alan, geçi? ekonomileri için yeni bir kümeleme olu?turmay? amaçlamaktad?r. 15 post-Sovyet ekonomisine ait gelir ve ya?am beklentisi verileri, ortalamalar aç?s?ndan üç gruba ayr?lm??t?r. 15 ülkeden 9’unun gelir ve ya?am beklentisi aç?s?ndan örtü?tü?ü tespit edilmi?tir. Geçi? dönemindeki durgunluk s?ras?nda, belirsizlikler ile gelirdeki kal?c? dü?ü?lerin birbiriyle paralel bir e?ilim gösterdi?i ve bunun, ya?am beklentisinin azald???na dair literatürle tutarl? oldu?u belirtilmi?tir. Sonuç olarak, gelirdeki dramatik ve sürekli dü?ü?ler, ya?am beklentisini ve nüfus art?? oranlar?n? dü?ürücü bir etki yaratm??t?r. Tüm geçi? süreçlerini kapsayan 1990-2022 y?llar?n? içeren uzun vadeli verilerle yap?lan çal??malarda, 1. kümedeki Türkmenistan ile 3. kümedeki Belarus, Gürcistan, Ermenistan ve Litvanya hariç 10 ülkede gelir ile ortalama ya?am süresi aras?ndaki ili?kinin do?rusal oldu?u; buna kar??l?k 5 ülkede ise ili?kinin ters yönde oldu?u tespit edilmi?tir. Bu bilgiler, geçi? ekonomilerinde gelirde sürekli dü?ü?lerin, yani resesyonun, nüfusu ve ortalama ya?am süresini olumsuz etkileyen faktörler oldu?u hipotezini do?rulamaktad?r.

Studies on the Economic Depression and the Dramatic Declines in Average Life Expectancy in Countries that Seceded from the Soviet Union

Abstract

A vast literature has emerged that classifies and analyzes the transition experiences of the countries that broke away from the former USSR (post-Soviet) to market economies in terms of the policies implemented, ownership of state tradition/transfer of institutional structures, depth of recession and political structures. This study aims to create a new clustering for transition economies that takes into account the relationship between income per capita and average life expectancy. Income and life expectancy data for 15 post-Soviet economies are clustered into three groups in terms of averages. It has been found that 9 of the 15 countries overlap in terms of income and life expectancy. It has been noted that during the transition recession, uncertainties and persistent declines in income trended together, consistent with the literature that life expectancy was reduced. Consequently, dramatic and continuous decreases in income have had the effect of reducing life expectancy and population growth rates. In the studies conducted with long-term data covering the years 1990-2022, including all transition processes, it is found that the relationships between income and average life span are linear in 10 countries except Turkmenistan in the 1st cluster and Belarus, Georgia, Armenia and Lithuania in the 3rd cluster; whereas, the relationship is in the opposite direction in 5 countries. This information confirms the hypothesis that, in the case of transition economies, continuous declines in income, i.e. recession, are the factors that negatively affect the population and average life expectancy.

Prof. Dr. Cevat Gerni (Istanbul Beykent University, Istanbul, Türkiye)
0000-0002-0214-3879  cevatgerni@yahoo.com

Prof. Dr. Selahattin Sar? (Eurasian Economists Association, Istanbul, Türkiye)
0000-0003-3218-2753  1950ssari@gmail.com

Dr. Hat?ra Sadeghzadeh Emsen (Atatürk University, Erzurum, Türkiye)
0000-0001-8824-0401  sadeghzadeh@gmail.com

Prof. Dr. Ömer Selçuk Emsen (Atatürk University, Erzurum, Türkiye)
0000-0002-1809-0513  osemsen@hotmail.com

Submitted on: 2026-04-01 Accepted on: 2026-07-07

Year:2026 - Volume:5 Issue:2 Pages: 46-56

DOI: https://doi.org/10.36880/J05.2.0159

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APA style citation: Gerni, C. , Sar?, S. , Sadeghzadeh Emsen, H. . , & Emsen, ?. S. (2026). SSCB’nden Ayr?lan Ülkelerdeki Ekonomik Buhran ve Ortalama Ya?am Süresindeki Dramatik Dü?ü?ler Üzerine ?ncelemeler. Avrasya Ekonomileri Dergisi, 5(2), 46-56.

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